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Source document· January 19, 2026

Andreessen Horowitz Makes a $3 Billion Bet Against the AI Bubble

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Andreessen Horowitz Makes a $3 Billion Bet Against the AI Bubble Photographer: Manuel Orbegozo/Bloomberg (Bloomberg) -- An artificial intelligence startup that helps developers write and debug code is now worth nearly as much as United Airlines…
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  • Not worried about an AI bubble because the technology is real and demand is real

    80% confidence
  • a16z invests much before crazy valuations typically

    80% confidence
  • Private valuations are crazy

    80% confidence
  • Mira Murati created ChatGPT

    80% confidence
  • He recruited Matt Bornstein by saying to come win deals instead of losing deals

    80% confidence
  • The infrastructure fund is one of the best funds he's ever seen

    80% confidence
  • He grew up very poor as a weird European family in a western town

    80% confidence
  • Sometimes you can be absolutely right and not rich

    80% confidence
  • Martin Casado has completely replaced him as infrastructure expert

    80% confidence
  • There's going to be a bunch of companies that don't work, with fewer winners than people assume but they are much larger than people assume

    80% confidence
  • A lot of venture capitalists were hired from investment banking, but Martin didn't care about conventional wisdom or background when building his team

    80% confidence
  • a16z talked themselves out of investing in neocloud providers stupidly

    80% confidence
  • It's too early to make any judgments about the fund's performance, which is usually assessed on a decade-long time horizon

    80% confidence
  • She was impressed that Martin Casado actually understood world models

    80% confidence
  • People joke that she works Martin really hard

    80% confidence
  • Some of the most important companies of tomorrow will be infrastructure companies

    80% confidence
  • Fire drills and battles at startups is what she loves about startups

    80% confidence

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What we're seeing
Enterprise AI Agents Scale Up Through Partnerships and Funding, But Data Readiness Lags Ambition
A wave of vertical AI-agent startups (Swarm, Veridox, Avallon AI, DA2, F2, Earthian, Meanwhile, Covecta, Penguin AI, Maisa AI) is being funded and profiled just as major infrastructure players — Microsoft/Mistral, Siemens/NVIDIA, and Manulife/Microsoft — cement enterprise AI governance and compute partnerships. Yet a Google Cloud report shows AI agents still lack access to the majority of company data (only 45% on average), and insider selling at incumbent C3.ai signals investor caution even as adoption intent (100% planned agentic AI use within two years) races ahead of actual data infrastructure.
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Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
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Where sources disagree
Berkshire Hathaway
Both facts report Berkshire Hathaway's cash position on 2026-01-01 with identical observation timestamps, but claim vastly different values: 380 billion USD vs 400 USD. These cannot both be true for the same entity at the same point in time. The magnitude of the discrepancy (a factor of ~10^9) rules out rounding, unit conversion, or methodological differences.
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