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Source document· April 18, 2026

Top Fed officials rethink rate cuts as peace talks begin

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Top Fed officials rethink rate cuts as peace talks begin The sooner the Iran War ends, the sooner the Federal Reserve can consider cutting interest rates -- something the central bank and traders had expected at the beginning of the year…
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  • The Middle East conflict could lead to a more difficult dynamic in which prices are rising at the same time that the U.S. economy is slowing, and this has begun to play out already

    60% confidence
  • Jerome Powell should slash interest rates to 1% or lower

    60% confidence
  • The Iran War is likely to drive up inflation in the near term

    60% confidence
  • Economic challenges from the Iran War could resolve later this year if supply disruptions in the energy market resolve relatively soon

    60% confidence
  • The energy developments have increased the risks of higher inflation further out if the energy crisis remains in place for a long period of time or gets worse

    60% confidence
  • Monetary policymakers would be open to cutting interest rates again later this year if peace in the Middle East was reached in a timely manner

    60% confidence
  • The central bank's current wait-and-see approach to interest-rate cuts is appropriate given additional risks to the Fed's dual mandate

    60% confidence
  • Underlying inflation would continue to move toward 2%, leaving him cautious about rate cuts now and more inclined toward cuts to support the labor market later this year when the outlook is more steady

    60% confidence
  • Jerome Powell is a moron and is 'Too Late' on rate cuts

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

Federal Reserve · rate cut forecast1 cuts
Federal Reserve · inflation target2 percent
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