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Source document· May 17, 2026

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Wants to Blow Up the Playbook That's Kept Stocks Rising for 15 Years. Here's What Investors Should Do Now.

View original at nasdaq.com
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Wants to Blow Up the Playbook That's Kept Stocks Rising for 15 Years. Here's What Investors Should Do Now. Key Points New Fed chair Kevin Warsh wants to shrink the Fed's balance sheet…
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What we drew from this source

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  • Kevin Warsh wants to aggressively reduce the Fed's balance sheet and believes the Fed should use interest rates rather than its balance sheet as a policy tool.

    60% confidence
  • Stock Advisor has a total average return of 993% compared to 207% for the S&P 500.

    60% confidence
  • Tech stocks with sky-high earnings multiples could see their valuations reduced as higher discount rates are applied to their projected future earnings if the Fed reduces its balance sheet.

    60% confidence
  • Warsh's desire for a smaller Fed balance sheet means that the Fed Put is somewhat deeper out of the money but remains present in the event of a real crisis.

    60% confidence
  • A shrinking Fed balance sheet won't be catastrophic; markets will adapt over time to any changes under Warsh's leadership.

    60% confidence
  • Investors should reduce exposure to QE-dependent stocks, increase exposure to financials like Berkshire Hathaway, shift bonds to shorter durations, build cash, and maintain a long-term perspective.

    60% confidence
  • The Fed's balance sheet disproportionately helps those with financial assets.

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

S&P 500 Index Fund · benchmark return207 percent
S&P 500 Index Fund · price appreciation6 multiple_x
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Vertical AI Agents Attract a Funding Wave Across Fintech-Adjacent Industries
A cluster of AI-native startups applying autonomous agents to narrow, operational problems — hotel front-desk staffing (Dextr AI), identity/fraud risk for financial institutions (Baselayer), insurance distribution (Napo, Connie Health, MGT Insurance) — closed seed-to-Series A rounds within days of each other in September 2026, with CB Insights running a coordinated CEO interview series to spotlight them. The pattern points to agentic AI maturing from generic chat tools into vertical, revenue-generating products, with identity verification for AI agents themselves (Baselayer) emerging as a new fintech infrastructure category responding directly to AI-driven fraud risk.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Wants to Blow Up the Playbook That's Kept Stocks Rising for 15 Years. Here's What Investors Should Do Now. — Source | Via News | Via News