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Source document· May 18, 2026

Crude Oil Prices Finish Sharply Higher Amid Tightening Global Supplies

View original at nasdaq.com
Crude Oil Prices Finish Sharply Higher Amid Tightening Global Supplies June WTI crude oil (CLM26) on Monday closed up +3.24 (+3.07%), and June RBOB gasoline (RBM26) closed up +0.0588 (+1.59%)…
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  • Russia is dragging out the war

    60% confidence
  • Despite draft changes, US demands for ending the war were excessive and unrealistic

    60% confidence
  • More than 80 energy facilities had been damaged during the conflict; recovery could take as long as 2 years

    60% confidence
  • US crude oil inventories as of May 8 were -0.3% below the seasonal 5-year average; gasoline inventories were -4.3% below; distillate inventories were -9.4% below the 5-year seasonal average; US crude production rose 1.0% w/w to 13.710 million bpd

    60% confidence
  • The territorial issue remains unresolved with Ukraine and there is no hope of achieving a long-term settlement to the war until Russia's demand for territory in Ukraine is accepted

    60% confidence
  • Crude oil stored on tankers that have been stationary for at least 7 days rose 2.7% w/w to 105.11 million bbl in the week ended May 15

    60% confidence
  • Pakistan has deployed 8,000 troops, a squadron of fighter jets, and an air defense system to Saudi Arabia as part of a mutual defense pact, a deployment described as a substantial, combat-capable force

    60% confidence
  • Gasoline prices will stay above $3 until 2027

    60% confidence
  • OPEC aims to continue a series of oil quota increases over the next few months, completing the return of halted oil production by the end of September

    60% confidence
  • Crude output in the Persian Gulf has been curtailed by about 14.5 million bpd; the current disruption has drawn down nearly 500 million bbl from global crude stockpiles, which could hit a billion bbl by June

    60% confidence
  • Active US oil rigs in the week ended May 15 rose by 5 to 415, modestly above the 4.25-year low of 406 set in the week ended December 19; US rig count has fallen sharply from the 5.5-year high of 627 rigs reported in December 2022

    60% confidence
  • The clock is ticking on Iran and it better get moving FAST on a peace deal, or there won't be anything left of them

    60% confidence
  • The US has proposed a temporary waiver on Iran oil sanctions until a final peace agreement is reached

    60% confidence
  • Global observed oil inventories declined at about 4 million bpd in March and April; the market will remain severely undersupplied until October, even if the conflict ends next month

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

United States Government · parameter count13.710 million_bpd_crude_production
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