Earnings week ahead: WMT, ET. OXY, PANW, NEM, MDT, DVN, DE, ETSY, CVNA, and more
View original at seekingalpha.comEarnings week ahead: WMT, ET…
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OXY trades at a sector premium despite falling toward $40, supported largely by the perceived Buffett put. Earnings remain under pressure with the stock trading at ~30x 2026 EPS and free cash flow yields trailing peers such as Devon Energy. The $9.7B OxyChem sale to Berkshire Hathaway strengthens liquidity and supports debt reduction but does not fully offset lower forward earnings, leaving valuation and leverage as key overhangs.
80% confidencePANW stock warrants a Sell rating due to premium valuation and signs of slowing momentum. Next-generation ARR growth decelerated to 29% from 32%. Management guidance for Q2 and FY26 implies further slowing across revenue, RPO, and next-gen ARR. Additional headwinds include DRAM pricing pressures and China-related restrictions.
80% confidenceWhile Walmart has demonstrated exceptional long-term performance (~520% total return over the past decade, far outpacing the S&P 500), fundamentals no longer justify the premium. WMT now trades at valuation multiples exceeding peers such as Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and even Nvidia, raising the risk of multiple compression if growth remains in the mid-single digits.
80% confidenceSeeking Alpha Quant Rating on WMT is Hold, reflecting valuation concerns.
80% confidenceSeeking Alpha Quant Rating on OXY is Hold, broadly aligning with sell-side caution around near-term growth.
80% confidenceSeeking Alpha Quant Rating on PANW stands at Hold.
80% confidenceWMT stock rally fueled by the Google Gemini partnership and Nasdaq 100 inclusion has pushed valuation to extremes, with WMT now trading near 46x earnings and 60x+ free cash flow, despite limited real sales growth over the past five years. Execution risks tied to higher costs, potential brand dilution, and pressure on retail media economics also present headwinds.
80% confidenceOXY is a compelling contrarian opportunity trading below Warren Buffett's average purchase levels. The bull case rests on OXY's investment-grade balance sheet, recent acquisitions that could drive profitability in the next commodity upcycle, and resilience during cyclical downturns, with greater upside expected when energy prices recover.
80% confidenceWalmart reported recent results showing ~6% revenue growth, 27% e-commerce growth, and margin improvement.
80% confidencePANW is undergoing a long-term transformation from a hardware-centric firewall vendor into a cloud-based, platform-driven security provider. Recent acquisitions including CyberArk and Chronosphere introduce execution and integration risks, even as the long-term thesis remains intact for patient investors.
80% confidencePANW Q1 FY26 delivered solid 16% Y/Y revenue growth and strong profitability. Management guidance for Q2 and FY26 implies further slowing across revenue, RPO, and next-gen ARR.
80% confidence
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